Bayesian Networks

2019


Groth, Katrina M., Smith, Reuel, and Moradi, Ramin. A hybrid approach to HRA using simulator data, causal models, and cognitive science (Journal Article) Reliability Engineering and System Safety, 191(11), 2019. (Links | BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networks, Human Reliability Analysis, Bayesian updating)


2018


Groth, Katrina M. A framework for using SACADA to enhance the qualitative and quantitative basis of HRA (Inproceedings) Proceedings of the 14th Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management Conference (PSAM 14), Los Angeles, CA, 2018 (Links | BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networks, Bayesian updating)


2017


Zwirglmaier, Kilian, Straub, Daniel, Groth, Katrina M. Capturing cognitive causal paths in human reliability analysis with Bayesian network models (Journal ArticleReliability Engineering & System Safety, 158 pp. 117-129, 2017. (Links | BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian methods, Bayesian Networks, causal models, cognitive models, human error, Human Reliability Analysis (HRA), nuclear power)


2016


Boring, Ronald, Mandelli, Diego, Rasmussen, Martin, Herberger, Sarah, Ulrich, Thomas, Groth, Katrina, Smith, Curtis Human Unimodel for Nuclear Technology to Enhance Reliability (HUNTER): A Framework for Computation-based Human Reliability Analysis (InproceedingsProceedings of the International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM 13), Seoul, Korea, 2016. (BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian methods, Bayesian Networks, Dynamic PRA, Human Reliability Analysis (HRA), nuclear power, Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA))


Boring, Ronald, Mandelli, Diego, Rasmussen, Martin, Herberger, Sarah, Ulrich, Thomas, Groth, Katrina, Smith, Curtis Integration of Human Reliability Analysis Models into the Simulation-Based Framework for the Risk-Informed Safety Margin Characterization Toolkit (Technical ReportIdaho National Laboratory Idaho Falls, ID, (INL/EXT-16-39015), 2016. (BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian methods, Bayesian Networks, Dynamic PRA, Human Reliability Analysis (HRA), nuclear power, Performance Shaping Factors (PSFs), Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA))


Jones, Thomas B., Darling, Michael C., Groth, Katrina M., Denman, Matthew R., Luger, George F. A Dynamic Bayesian Network for Diagnosing Nuclear Power Plant Accidents (InproceedingsThe 29th International Florida Artificial Intelligence Research Society (FLAIRS 29), Key Largo, FL, USA, 2016. (BibTeX | Tags: Artificial intelligenceBayesian NetworksDecision support systemsDynamic PRAnuclear powerProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)risk-informed procedures)


2015


Darling, Michael C., Jones, Thomas B., Luger, George F., Groth, Katrina M. ALADDIN: The Automatic Loader of Accident Data for Dynamic Inferencing Networks (Technical Report) Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, (SAND2015-10401), 2015. (BibTeX | Tags: Artificial intelligence, Bayesian Networks, Decision support systems, Dynamic PRA, nuclear power, software, uncertainty)


Jankovsky, Zachary K., Denman, Matthew R., Groth, Katrina M., Wheeler, Timothy A. Interim Status Report for Risk Management for SFRs (Technical ReportSandia National Laboratories Albuquerque, NM, (SAND2015-8872), 2015(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian NetworksDecision support systemsDynamic PRAnuclear powerProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)risk-informed procedures)


Groth, K. M., Denman, M. R., Jones, T., Darling, M., Luger, G. Proof-of-concept accident diagnostic support for sodium fast reactors (InproceedingsProceedings of the European Society for Reliability Annual Meeting (ESREL 2015), Zurich, Switzerland, 2015(BibTeX | Tags: Artificial intelligenceBayesian NetworksDecision support systemsDynamic PRAnuclear powerProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)risk-informed procedures)


Zwirglmaier, K., Straub, D., Groth, K. M. Framework for a Bayesian Network Version of IDHEAS (InproceedingsProceedings of the European Society for Reliability Annual Meeting (ESREL 2015), Zurich, Switzerland, 2015(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian methodsBayesian Networkscausal modelshuman errorHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear power)


Boring, Ronald, Mandelli, Diego, Joe, Jeffery, Smith, Curtis, Groth, Katrina A Research Roadmap for Computation-Based Human Reliability Analysis (Technical ReportIdaho National Laboratory Idaho Falls, ID, (INL/EXT-15-36051), 2015(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkscausal modelsDynamic PRAHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear powerProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA))


Denman, Matthew R., Groth, Katrina M., Cardoni, Jeff, Wheeler, Tim Advance Liquid Metal Reactor Discrete Dynamic Event Tree/Bayesian Network Analysis and Incident Management Guidelines (Risk Management for Sodium Fast Reactors) (Technical ReportSandia National Laboratories Albuquerque, NM, (SAND2015-2484), 2015(BibTeX | Tags: Artificial intelligenceBayesian NetworksDecision support systemsDynamic PRAnuclear powerProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)risk-informed proceduresuncertainty)


Denman, Matthew R., Groth, Katrina M., Cardoni, Jeff, Wheeler, Tim Risk Management for Sodium Fast Reactors (Technical ReportSandia National Laboratories Albuquerque, NM, (SAND2015-0542), 2015(BibTeX | Tags: Artificial intelligenceBayesian NetworksDynamic PRAnuclear powerProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)risk-informed procedures)


2014


Groth, Katrina M., Denman, Matthew R., Cardoni, Jeffrey N., Wheeler, Timothy A.“Smart Procedures”: Using dynamic PRA to develop dynamic, context-specific severe accident management guidelines (SAMGs) (InproceedingsProceedings of the International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM 12), Honolulu, HI, 2014(BibTeX | Tags: Artificial intelligenceBayesian NetworksDecision support systems, Dynamic PRAnuclear powerrisk-informed proceduresuncertainty)


Groth, Katrina M., Denman, Matthew R., Cardoni, Jeffrey N., Wheeler, Timothy A. “Smart SAMGs” Dynamic, robust severe accident management guidelines (BookletPoster SAND2014-1466P, Albuquerque, NM, 2014.(BibTeX | Tags: Artificial intelligenceBayesian NetworksDecision support systemsDynamic PRAProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA), risk-informed procedures)


Groth, Katrina M., Smith, Curtis L., Swiler, Laura P. A Bayesian method for using simulator data to enhance human error probabilities assigned by existing HRA methods (Journal ArticleReliability Engineering & System Safety, 128 pp. 32-40, 2014(Links | BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian methodsBayesian Networkshuman errorHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear powerPerformance Shaping Factors (PSFs)uncertainty)


2013


Denman, Matthew R., Cardoni, Jeffrey, Liao, Huafei, Wheeler, Timothy, Groth, Katrina M. Discrete Dynamic Event Tree Analysis of Small Modular Reactor Severe Accident Management (InproceedingsProceedings of PSA 2013 – the ANS International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis, American Nuclear Society Columbia, SC, 2013(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian NetworksDynamic PRAnuclear powerProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)risk-informed procedures)


Groth, Katrina M., Denman, Matthew R., Cardoni, Jeffrey N., Wheeler, Timothy A. Proof of Principle Framework for Developing Dynamic Risk-Informed Severe Accident Management Guidelines (Technical ReportSandia National Laboratories Albuquerque, NM, (SAND2013-8324), 2013(BibTeX | Tags: Artificial intelligenceBayesian NetworksDecision support systemsDynamic PRAnuclear powerProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)risk-informed proceduresuncertainty)


Groth, Katrina M., Swiler, Laura P. Bridging the gap between HRA research and HRA practice: A Bayesian Network version of SPAR-H (Journal ArticleReliability Engineering and System Safety, 115 pp. 33-42, 2013. (Links | BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkscausal modelsHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear poweruncertainty)


Groth, Katrina M., Swiler, Laura P. Use of Limited Data to Construct Bayesian Networks for Probabilistic Risk Assessment (Technical ReportSandia National Laboratories Albuquerque, NM, (SAND2013-2019), 2013(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian methodsBayesian NetworksHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA)uncertainty)


2012


Groth, Katrina M., Mosleh, Ali Deriving causal Bayesian networks from human reliability analysis data: A methodology and example model (Journal ArticleProceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, 226 pp. 361-379, 2012(Links | BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkshuman errorHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear powerPerformance Shaping Factors (PSFs))


Groth, Katrina M., Swiler, Laura P. Use of a SPAR-H Bayesian Network for predicting Human Error Probabilities with missing observations (InproceedingsProceedings of the International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM 11), Helsinki, Finland, 2012.(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkshuman errorHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear powerPerformance Shaping Factors (PSFs)uncertainty)


Groth, Katrina M. Bayesian Networks: Decision support for complex systems (Booklet) SAND2012-10866P, 2012. (BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networks, Decision support systems)


2011


Groth, Katrina, Mosleh, Ali Development and Use of a Bayesian Network to Estimate Human Error Probability (InproceedingsProceedings of the ANS International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2011), American Nuclear Society Wilmington, NC, 2011(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkscausal modelshuman errorHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear powerPerformance Shaping Factors (PSFs))


2010


Groth, Katrina, Mosleh, Ali A Performance Shaping Factors Causal Model for Nuclear Power Plant Human Reliability Analysis. (InproceedingsProceedings of the International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM 10), Seattle, WA, 2010(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkscausal modelshuman errorHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear powerPerformance Shaping Factors (PSFs))


Groth, Katrina, Wang, Chengdong, Mosleh, Ali Hybrid causal methodology and software platform for probabilistic risk assessment and safety monitoring of socio-technical systems(Journal ArticleReliability Engineering & System Safety, 95 (12), pp. 1276-1285, 2010ISSN: 0951-8320.(Links | BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian NetworksDecision support systemsIRIS, Probabilistic risk assessment (PRA)Quantitative risk assessment (QRA), software)


2009


Groth, Katrina, Mosleh, Ali Development of an interdependent causal model for estimating human error probability from performance shaping factors (ConferencePresentation at the Society for Risk Analysis Annual Meeting (SRA), Baltimore, MD, 2009(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkscausal modelshuman errorHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear powerPerformance Shaping Factors (PSFs))


Groth, K. M., Mosleh, A. A Data-Informed Model of Performance Shaping Factors and Their Interdependencies for Use in Human Reliability Analysis (InproceedingsProceedings of the European Society for Reliability Annual Meeting (ESREL 2009), Prague, 2009(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkscausal modelshuman errorHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear powerPerformance Shaping Factors (PSFs))


Groth, Katrina M. A Data-Informed Model of Performance Shaping Factors for Use in Human Reliability Analysis (PhD ThesisUniversity of Maryland, 2009. (Links | BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkscausal modelshuman errorHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear powerPerformance Shaping Factors (PSFs))


2008


Groth, K. M., Wang, C., Zhu, D., Mosleh, A. Methodology and software platform for multi-layer causal modeling (InproceedingsProceedings of the European Society for Reliability Annual Meeting (ESREL 2008), Valencia, Spain, 2008(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkscausal models, IRISProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)Quantitative risk assessment (QRA)software)


Groth, Katrina, Mosleh, Ali Data-driven modeling of dependencies among influencing factors in human-machine interactions (InproceedingsProceedings of the ANS International Topical Meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Analysis (PSA 2008), American Nuclear Society Knoxville, Tennessee, 2008(BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkscausal modelshuman errorHuman Reliability Analysis (HRA)nuclear powerPerformance Shaping Factors (PSFs))


Roelen, Alfred, Wever, Rombout, Mosleh, Ali, Groth, Katrina Development and Validation of a Comprehensive Hybrid Causal Model for Safety Assessment and Management of Aviation Systems (InproceedingsZio, Enrico; Ho, Vincent; Kao, Tsu-Mu (Ed.): Proceedings of the International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM 9), Hong Kong, 2008.(BibTeX | Tags: aviationBayesian Networkscausal modelsIRISProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)Quantitative risk assessment (QRA)transportation safety)


Zhu, Dongfeng, Wang, Chengdong, Groth, Katrina, Mosleh, Ali A PRA Software Platform for Hybrid Causal Logic Risk Models (InproceedingsZio, Enrico; Ho, Vincent; Kao, Tsu-Mu (Ed.): Proceedings of the International Conference on Probabilistic Safety Assessment and Management (PSAM 9), Hong Kong, 2008. (BibTeX | Tags: aviationBayesian Networkscausal models, IRISProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)softwaretransportation safety)


Groth, Katrina, Zhu, Dongfeng, Mosleh, Ali Hybrid Methodology and Software Platform for Probabilistic Risk Assessment (InproceedingsProceedings of the Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium (RAMS 2008), Las Vegas, NV, 2008(Links | BibTeX | Tags: Bayesian Networkshazard identificationProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)Quantitative risk assessment (QRA)software)


2007


Groth, Katrina Integrated Risk Information System (IRIS) User Guide (Technical ReportUniversity of Maryland Center for Risk and Reliability, (CRR-2007–SR-014), 2007(BibTeX | Tags: aviationBayesian NetworksIRISProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)Quantitative risk assessment (QRA)softwaretransportation safety)


Mosleh, Ali, Groth, Katrina Integrated Risk Methodology: Applications (Technical ReportUniversity of Maryland Center for Risk and Reliability, 2007, (Prepared for U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).(BibTeX | Tags: aviationBayesian NetworksIRISProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)Quantitative risk assessment (QRA)softwaretransportation safety)


2005


Mosleh, A., Wang, C., Groth, K., Mohaghegh, Z. Integrated Methodology for Identification, Classification, and Assessment of Aviation System Risk (Technical ReportUniversity of Maryland Center for Risk and Reliability, 2005, (Prepared for U.S. Federal Aviation Administration (FAA).)(BibTeX | Tags: aviationBayesian NetworksIRISProbabilistic risk assessment (PRA)Quantitative risk assessment (QRA)transportation safety)